Onyx Path has a decent amount of its own brand recognition at this point. They are doing the whole OPP10 thing this year after all. For a crude bit of comparison, Onyx Path has 15.7K followers on their official Twitter account, while the World of Darkness run by Paradox Twitter account has 29.6K. For the sake of some context since we also brought up Pathfinder, Paizo is sitting at 61.9. At this point in time. Onyx Path is not some indie studio that's only known about because they wrote some VtM books. The WoD brand, by itself, isn't actually some massive thing at the moment.
Given how much Paradox paid for the WoD/CofD/Exalted bundled, it's doubtful OPP could have just bought them a decade ago either. Onyx Path didn't have it's own in-house system to make games with that didn't involve licensing, and it didn't have a decade of building up its own community as more than just people that make books for video game companies that own the RPG IPs.
Personally, I think OPP can afford to lose Paradox more than Paradox can afford to lose OPP, esp. with how fans perceive how their relationship is impacting products meaning there's a lot of people that are going to side with OPP if that goes sour. One of the reasons why fans view, "OPP is hostage to evil ParaWolf" is because there's a trickle of X20 and CofD books in the schedule for OPP, there's no WoD5 books in the schedule besides any work from the previous Kickstarters to finish, and remember that OPP pays Paradox to make these books, not the other way around. Paradox seems to be closing all those venues for OPP to work on anything that isn't Exalted, which as you say isn't sustainable.
Paradox is in the process of making the mistake you don't want to see happen. That's why a lot of fans have grown even more unhappy with them.
Given how much Paradox paid for the WoD/CofD/Exalted bundled, it's doubtful OPP could have just bought them a decade ago either. Onyx Path didn't have it's own in-house system to make games with that didn't involve licensing, and it didn't have a decade of building up its own community as more than just people that make books for video game companies that own the RPG IPs.
Personally, I think OPP can afford to lose Paradox more than Paradox can afford to lose OPP, esp. with how fans perceive how their relationship is impacting products meaning there's a lot of people that are going to side with OPP if that goes sour. One of the reasons why fans view, "OPP is hostage to evil ParaWolf" is because there's a trickle of X20 and CofD books in the schedule for OPP, there's no WoD5 books in the schedule besides any work from the previous Kickstarters to finish, and remember that OPP pays Paradox to make these books, not the other way around. Paradox seems to be closing all those venues for OPP to work on anything that isn't Exalted, which as you say isn't sustainable.
Paradox is in the process of making the mistake you don't want to see happen. That's why a lot of fans have grown even more unhappy with them.
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